Evaluating Hedge Fund Risk (2024)

Hedge funds have become a hot topic over the past decades as the number of funds has grown exponentially, while receiving increased media attention and attracting billions in investment dollars. While most people have a basic understanding of what they are, many investors are not familiar with the underlying types of hedge funds and their opaque risks.

Key Takeaways

  • Hedge funds come in all shapes and sizes, employing various investment strategies and investing in different asset classes.
  • As a result, evaluating a hedge fund's risk and performance must be done on an individualized basis that uses the proper benchmark and risk metrics for its particular style.
  • In addition, some unique risks common to most hedge funds must be evaluated such as the possibility of fraud, regulatory action, or market illiquidity.

Types of Funds

While the hedge fund universe is wide, and often funds can fit into multiple categories, funds are generally classified as either equity-focused or fixed-income.

Beyond this very basic definition, funds can be broken down into any number of sub-categories, depending on their investment strategies. Some common fund types include:

  1. Long-Short Funds:Funds that take both long and short positions in securities in hopes of using superior stock picking strategies to outperform the general market.
  2. Market-Neutral Funds: A sub-type of a long-short fund wherefund managers attempt to hedge against general market movements (thus the name).
  3. Event-Driven Funds: An attempt to capture gains from market events, such as mergers, natural disasters, or political turmoil.
  4. Macro Funds: Funds that take directional bets on the market as a whole, either long or short, based upon research andthe fund's philosophy.
  5. Funds of Funds:Hedge funds that holda diversified portfolio of investments in other hedge funds.

Regardless of the type of hedge fund, there are numerous universal risks that basically every fund investor must take into careful consideration.

Hedge Fund Risks

While every type of fund may have a different set of risks for its investors to consider, there are three basic types of risks which are shared by the entire hedge fund industry.

Investment Risk

The biggest and most obvious risk is the risk of investors losing some or all of their investment. A key quality of hedge fund investment risk is the virtual Wild West landscape of the hedge fund industry (though strides have been made since the 2008 financial crisis). Fund managers for the most part have free reign over the investment decisions they make in chasing alpha with their portfolios. Unlike many other types of institutions, hedge funds are not regulated. While a fund may be tagged as a global blue-chip equity fund, and in most respects would be considered a relatively "safe" hedge fund investment, the strategies implemented by fund management, such as the use of excessive leverage, can create levels of investment risk not expected by investors.

Some specific types of investment risk include:

  • Style Drift: Style drift occurs when a manager strays from the fund's stated goal or strategy to enter a hot sector or avoid a market downturn. Although this may sound like good money management, the reason an investment was made in the first place in the fund was due to the manager's stated expertise in a particular sector/strategy/etc., so abandoning his or her strength is probably not in the investors' best interests.
  • Overall Market Risk: Both equity and fixed-income funds, and overall directional move by the equity markets, can play a big role on the returns of a fund. For equity funds, although many may claim to be market neutral or have a zero beta, it is very difficult in practice to achieve such a balance, as the equity markets can move very quickly in either direction—especially down. In times of crises, correlations go to one, so even the most diversified portfolio will not be safe from a market crash. Widening credit spreads are the biggest threat to the performance of fixed-income funds. Since most fixed-income funds take long positions in corporate bonds and short positions in comparable treasuries, adverse economic movements can cause the simultaneous increase in corporate yields while the Treasury yields fall, thus widening the spreads between positions and hurting the funds' performance.
  • Leverage: The use of leverage within the hedge fund industry is commonplace, since a smart leveraged position can magnify gains. But as we all know, leverage is a double-edged sword and even a small move in the wrong direction can put a major dent in a fund's returns, especially those funds which speculate heavily in commodities and currencies.

Fraud Risk

The risk of fraud is more prevalent in the hedge fund industry compared to mutual funds, due to the lack of regulation for the former. Hedge funds do not face the same stringent reporting standards as other funds, and therefore the risk of unethical behavior on the part of the fund and its employees is heightened. There have been numerous media reports of hedge fund managers who have bilked investors out of huge sums of money in order to lead lavish lifestyles or cover up constant losses for the fund. Knowing your hedge-fund manager and staying abreast of the literature provided to you by the fund are keys to protecting yourself from investment fraud.

Operational Risk

Lastly, operational risk refers to the shortcomings of the policies, proceduresand activities of a hedge fund and its employees. For example, quite often hedge funds deal in the over-the-counter market, where positions can be tailor-made to suit the needs of the involved parties. The biggest issue with OTC securities is in valuing them on an ongoing basis, since they are not publicly traded and very illiquid. This issue came to light in the early stages of the 2008 credit crisis, when, seemingly, no two institutions were able to accurately value the mortgages and asset-backed securities that had flooded the marketplace in the early 2000s. The very nature of the hedge-fund industry creates operational inefficiencies, and thus operational risks.

The Bottom Line

By being able to recognize the type of hedge fund along with its strategy, you should be able to identify potential risks associated with the fund. It's clear that the hedge-fund industry will only continue to grow, and having a strong grasp on what moves the industry will put you in a position of strength going forward.

Evaluating Hedge Fund Risk (2024)

FAQs

What is the Fung Hsieh 7 factor model? ›

The Fung-Hsieh 7 factor model is a risk factor model commonly used to evaluate hedge funds' performance. The seven factors are risk factors that explain a large proportion of the returns of hedge funds.

How do you evaluate hedge funds? ›

Benchmarking Hedge Fund Returns

Traditional equity or fixed income performance is often evaluated by comparing the returns against an industry benchmark. This makes it possible to determine how much value the manager has added to the fund over what could have been achieved by investing in the benchmark fund.

Why are hedge funds considered a high-risk form of investment question 6 of 10? ›

In summary, hedge funds are considered high-risk because they rely on risky practices such as investing borrowed money, engage in aggressive investment strategies, and have high entry requirements. It is important for investors to carefully consider the risks involved before investing in hedge funds.

How to interpret calmar ratio? ›

It is a function of the fund's average compounded annual rate of return versus its maximum drawdown. The higher the Calmar ratio, the better it performed on a risk-adjusted basis during the given time frame, which is mostly commonly set at 36 months.

What is the 7 factors model? ›

The seven factor model of personality was developed by Tellegen and Waller (1987) using the lexical approach and represents personality traits in terms of seven broad dimensions including positive emotionality, negative emotionality, dependability, agreeability, conventionality, positive valence, and negative valence.

What is the fama French 5 factor model? ›

The Fama/French 5 factors (2x3) are constructed using the 6 value-weight portfolios formed on size and book-to-market, the 6 value-weight portfolios formed on size and operating profitability, and the 6 value-weight portfolios formed on size and investment.

What is the 2 20 rule for hedge funds? ›

The 2 and 20 is a hedge fund compensation structure consisting of a management fee and a performance fee. 2% represents a management fee which is applied to the total assets under management. A 20% performance fee is charged on the profits that the hedge fund generates, beyond a specified minimum threshold.

What are the metrics for fund risk? ›

A negative alpha indicates relative underperformance. A beta less than 1.0 indicates likely lower volatility than the market. A beta greater than 1.0 indicates likely higher volatility than the market. Upside capture: A ratio greater than one indicates that the portfolio outperforms in up markets.

What is the main way to evaluate funds? ›

By comparing total percent return to a benchmark, such as a stock, bond, or mutual fund index, you can examine a fund's performance in relation to the performance of a comparable segment of the investment market or to similar funds.

Why do rich people invest in hedge funds? ›

A wealthy individual who can afford to diversify into a hedge fund might be attracted to the high-performance reputation of its manager, the specific assets in which the fund is invested, or the unique strategy that it employs.

What makes hedge funds risky? ›

Large positions: Hedge funds tend to make big bets and deploy more aggressive strategies to maximise returns and minimise losses. If the market moves against them, hedge funds can face huge losses. Leverage: Hedge fund managers may use leverage on some (or all) positions. Leverage can magnify both profits and losses.

Which is riskier hedge fund or mutual fund? ›

Hedge funds often engage in riskier strategies and require a higher investment minimum, making them suitable for more affluent, risk-tolerant investors seeking potentially higher returns.

What is a good Sortino ratio? ›

As a rule of thumb, a Sortino ratio of 2 and above is considered ideal.

What is a good Sharpe ratio? ›

Understanding the Sharpe Ratio

Usually, any Sharpe ratio greater than 1.0 is considered acceptable to good by investors. A ratio higher than 2.0 is rated as very good. A ratio of 3.0 or higher is considered excellent. A ratio under 1.0 is considered sub-optimal.

What is the Sharpe Sortino and Calmar ratio? ›

To summarize, the Sharpe Ratio is an investment's risk adjusted performance relative to its total volatility. Sortino Ratio is an investment's risk adjusted performance relative to its downside volatility. Calmar Ratio is an investment's risk adjusted performance relative to its maximum drawdown.

What valuation methods do hedge funds use? ›

The value of a hedge fund management enterprise is based on its expected flow of fund management and incentive fees. Noting that the payoff from the flow of fees is analogous to a payoff of an option contract, we developed an option pricing framework to calculate the present discounted value of expected fees.

How do you calculate hedge fund performance? ›

Take the ending balance of your hedge fund account before it imposes its fees and divide it by the balance that you had at the beginning of the period. Subtract 1 and then multiply by 100, and the result gives you your percentage gross return from your hedge fund investment.

What indicators do hedge funds use? ›

One of the most popular measures of risk-adjusted returns used by hedge funds is the Sharpe ratio. The Sharpe ratio indicates the amount of additional return obtained for each level of risk taken.

What is considered a good return for a hedge fund? ›

Most hedge and private equity funds target a net IRR of 15% for their investors (after fees). This provides their investors with a meaningful premium over historical average stock market returns of 8%.

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